Disclaimer

What this service is

Polymarket Wire is an automated monitoring system that tracks probability changes on Polymarket, a prediction market platform operated by Polymarket, Inc. The system samples publicly available market data at regular intervals, detects changes that exceed defined thresholds, and distributes structured alerts via X (formerly Twitter) and this website.

No human editorial judgment is applied to individual signals. The system records what the market data shows, without interpretation, commentary, or recommendation.

Not investment, trading, or betting advice

Nothing published by Polymarket Wire constitutes investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or betting advice of any kind.

Signal alerts describe historical probability changes on a prediction market platform. They are not recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument, to place any bet or wager, or to take any action based on market conditions.

You should not rely on any signal published by Polymarket Wire when making financial, investment, or trading decisions. If you require financial advice, consult a qualified and licensed financial advisor.

Nature of prediction market data

Prediction market probabilities reflect the collective belief of market participants at a given moment. They are not statements of fact, verified reporting, or authoritative assessments of real-world events.

Probability changes may occur for many reasons, including new information entering the market, changing participant sentiment, liquidity events, or other factors. Polymarket Wire does not assess or report the cause of any probability change.

Past probability movement does not predict future outcomes, either in markets or in the real-world events those markets reference. A market reaching 80% does not mean the referenced event will occur.

No affiliation with Polymarket

Polymarket Wire is not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. or any prediction market operator. We are not endorsed by, partnered with, or in any commercial relationship with Polymarket, Inc.

The name "Polymarket Wire" is used descriptively to indicate that the service monitors publicly available Polymarket data. Polymarket® is a trademark of Polymarket, Inc.

No guarantees

Signal detection is fully automated. The system may miss qualifying events, produce signals that do not reflect real-world developments, experience downtime, or distribute data that is delayed or incorrect.

We make no representations about the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any information published by this service. Use of this service is entirely at your own risk.